By Stefan Jensen (auth.)
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Extra resources for Possible Futures of European Education: Numerical and System’s Forecasts
Forecasts of Educational Expenditures go Table 3. R. : Westeuropa 1985. op. ; b) Author's estimates. 8. Our calculations suggest that the financial requirements of education in the future will be generally higher than today, and in some cases considerably so. This is particularly true of alternative II where we assumed an annual rate of growth in current expenditure per teacher of 4%. This is also brought out by Table 4 which shows public educational expenditure as a percentage of total public expenditure in three countries where E/GNP in the year 2000 is assumed to be high, medium, and low.
12 Alternative II implies a stronger rise. It assumes an annual increase in current level-specific expenditure of 4%. This rate corresponds to the estimated average annual growth in total productivity per active member of the labour force as given by the same source. 7) are in constant prices of 1965 and do not reflect price increases. 5. Administrative expenditure cannot as readily be related to changes in teaching and learning conditions as the level-specific current expenditure. Statistical material for 1965 indicates that administrative expenditure is roughly 10% of current level-specific expenditure.
1. The Theory of Social Systems Seen from a systems theoretical point of view, the main problem of human activity is the selection of meaningful goals and strategies in relation to the environment. Social systems serve this purpose and can, therefore, be defined as strategies for the reduction of social complexity. 4 We shall try to explain it briefly: Social systems are patterns of action. A family is one type of social system; here, the patterns of action consist of the prescribed interaction roles that are available and mutually understandable in order to organize family life.